Take the temperature of the MVP race, along with Prisco’s Week 11 picks and playoff odds for each team


Happy Wednesday everyone! Tyler Sullivan here with you on this beautiful fall afternoon as my pals John Breech and Cody Benjamin take a well-deserved break to deliver much-needed news across the NFL.

This is the Pick Six newsletter, and if you’ve listened to the podcast this season you’ve heard me join Will Brinson twice a week as we break down all of the gameplay angles of “Monday Night Football” with “Thursday Night Football. ” Be sure to check that out later this week before the white-hot Patriots travel to Atlanta to take on the Falcons.

Now that my shameless take is out of the way, let us give you the daily news from across the league, including a new starting quarterback for the Jets, Week 11 picks, race preview. MVP and much more:

1. Today’s Show: OBJ’s LA Debut, Russell Wilson’s Struggles

GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN – NOVEMBER 14: Seattle Seahawks No.3 Russell Wilson heads to the squad during a game against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on November 14, 2021 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The Packers defeated the Seahawks 17-0.

Stacy Revere / Getty Images

It’s Wednesday, so you know what that means – it’s the Brady Quinn episode of the “Pick Six NFL Podcast”. Will Brinson and Quinn touched on a number of topics throughout today’s show, including a picture dive of the playoffs and the MVP race ahead of Week 11. Before jumping into those. matters, however, they dove a little deeper into Odell Beckham Jr.’s debut with the Rams and Russell Wilson’s quiet return to the Seattle Seahawks against the Packers.

Here are some of the main points Quinn made about each situation:

  • OBJ will not replace Robert Woods. It was a quiet start for Odell Beckham Jr. with the Rams, as he only played 27% of the team’s offensive snaps in Monday’s loss to the 49ers. He’s been targeted three times – the original target came in the game’s opening game – and caught two of those passes for 18 yards.

    That only time he and Stafford missed was later in Los Angeles opening practice when the quarterback threw a deep interception down midfield. Quinn noted that it was more about Stafford trying to force the ball at Beckham than anything the wide receiver had done, which was a prime example suggesting these two will need time to freeze. Quinn also pointed out that people shouldn’t expect Beckham to be a plug-and-play replacement for Robert Woods, who is now out for the year with a torn ACL. While you can stack Woods with Cooper Kupp on the same side of the pitch, Quinn believes Beckham is better suited as an X receiver that the Rams isolate on one side of the pitch.

    In a larger point, Quinn suggested that Sean McVay go back to his roots by running the outside area. This offensive pattern was once the team’s calling card and stems from Kyle Shanahan’s system, which was on full display Monday night.

  • Russell Wilson’s New Normal. Wilson returned to the field last week after missing three games with a broken finger that required surgery. While Wilson was able to get back onto the field fairly quickly, he wasn’t the quarterback we’re used to seeing as he only completed 50% of his passes for 161 yards and two interceptions in the Seattle’s 17-0 loss to Green Bay. (the first shutout loss of his NFL career).

    Quinn – who suffered a similar injury in 2008 – previously predicted Wilson might struggle on his return. He said the Seahawks quarterback will have to live with a “new normal” when it comes to exiting football. Based on his previous experience, Quinn said he struggles with inconsistency by controlling his passes, which we have seen from Wilson. He seemed to lack speed and precision in his throws, especially on the pitch. Quinn even said he flirted with the idea of ​​wearing a glove on his throwing hand, but ultimately never felt comfortable enough with it to use it in a match. For Wilson, he probably would have been better served with a little extra rehab time to practice his hand’s reaction to the operation.

To listen to today’s episode – and to subscribe to the NFL’s Best Daily Podcast – be sure to click here. You can also watch Tuesday’s episode with Brady Quinn on YouTube by clicking here.

2. Pete Prisco’s picks for week 11

Speaking of Brady Quinn, Pete Prisco, senior NFL analyst at CBS Sports, writes that he knew he may have had issues with his Week 10 picks when his selections mirrored Quinn’s on CBS Sports. HQ. It came to fruition when he was 5-9 ATS, but Prisco managed to save the slate by going 4-2 with his best bets. Now, Prisco has returned to the lab and made his calls for the entire Week 11 list. Here are a few of his notable picks:

  • Patriots 27, Falcons 19. The Patriots roll with four straight wins, which prompts them to push Buffalo into the AFC East. The Falcons looked terrible last week against the Cowboys. But these games are always difficult for visitors. I don’t think that will be the case here. The Patriots will continue to ride as Mac Jones plays well.
  • Chefs 34, Cowboys 30. It’s the game of the week, and it should be an offensive shootout between Patrick Mahomes and Dak Prescott. Last Sunday night, Mahomes brought the offense back to what we expected to see ahead of the season. It will continue here. The Cowboys will also score their points as the Chiefs’ defense is still not great, so look for a high scoring game with the Chiefs in the lead.
  • Raiders 30, Bengals 25. The Bengals are coming off the pass, while the Raiders have lost back-to-back games. Cincinnati was not playing well before his leave and faces a desperate team. Look for the Raiders pass rush to attack Joe Burrow and make a difference in this one. Las Vegas is getting back on its feet.

3. Break down the great MVP race

In previous seasons, there have been at least one or two players who have already jumped before the MVP race. For 10 weeks this season, however, it’s still as open as it was in Week 1. Injured Derrick Henry wasted his chances of winning the award, and it looked like Lamar Jackson was about to take the lead. ahead before he and the Ravens fold. an egg last Thursday against Miami. As we head into week 11, we take the temperature of this MVP race.

A panel of CBS Sports NFL staff members voted on the MVP race as it currently stands. Tom Brady (3) received the most votes in first place, while Dak Prescott (2) and Lamar Jackson (2) were tied for second. Here’s a look at the top five in the rankings:

MVP race before week 11:

1. Buccaneers QB Tom Brady (23)

2. QB Cardinals Kyler Murray (22)

T-3. Cowboys QB Dak Prescott; Ravens QB Lamar Jackson (20)

5. QB Invoices Josh Allen (17)

The panel of voters: Jonathan Jones, Will Brinson, Ryan Wilson, Jared Dubin, Tyler Sullivan, Josh Edwards, Jeff Kerr, Jordan Dajani, Bryan DeArdo

4. YLC Insider Notes for Week 11

As we prepare for another week in the NFL, CBS Sports NFL insider Jason La Canfora has an eye on a handful of situations across the league. Here’s a quick look at his latest insider note that includes a second-half breakout from a rookie in the first round:

  • This is Justin Fields. While it may not save some Chicago bra jobs, JLC predicts a major second-half breakup from Fields. As he notes, Fields is averaging 7.15 yards per carry over the Bears ‘last four games, which is a better pace than Lamar Jackson’s season MVP in 2019. That running ability has also helped the Bears’ game. passes, because Fields averages at least 10 tunes. yards per attempt in three of his last four games. Canfora says the main key will be to protect Fields. If Chicago can do it, be careful.
  • COVID-19 impacting the race for the playoffs. As the Steelers and Chargers battle for a possible playoff tiebreaker this weekend, La Canfora points out that COVID-19 is already starting to impact the NFL playoff race. As they prepare for this game, Ben Roethlisberger, Minkah Fitzpatrick, Joey Bosa and Jerry Tillery have all been placed on the COVID list, leaving their status in doubt. La Canfora writes that “it seems inevitable that some teams will face periodic cases where they are short at one or more key positions because of the virus, and depth will be tested.”

5. Play-off odds for the 32 teams

Getty Images

Upheavals have taken over the NFL over the past few weeks, which has probably caused you to frantically research the current picture of the playoffs and whether or not your favorite team has moved up the rankings. For example, the Ravens, Cardinals, Rams and Raiders all seemed to have a solid grip on a playoff berth at the start of Week 10, but each team suffered a loss last week.

What impact does this have on the current image of the Week 11 playoffs? That’s exactly what SportsLine’s Stephen Oh calculates. Oh entered a few numbers into his SportsLine computer this week and simulated the rest of the season and now has the projected playoff odds for all 32 teams, plus the 14-team pitch slated for the playoffs.

Round projection with joker

AFC
7) Steelers at (2) invoices
(6) Chargers for (3) Ravens
(5) Patriots to (4) Chiefs
Bye: Titans

NFC
(7) 49ers to (2) Cardinals
(6) Saints to (3) Cowboys
(5) Rams to (4) Buccaneers
Bye: Packers

6. Quick assembly

Need more NFL news? Here’s a look at what happened in the past 24 hours.

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